TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Aksu vs E. Malygina (Caldas da Rainha on 2026-09-15) — the market is efficient, with A. Aksu favoured at 1.62.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Aksu | E. Malygina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
57.9% | 42.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.1% | 44.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.8% | 55.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.6% | 47.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.8% | 42.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Aksu | hard | 1584 | 90–72 | 162 |
| E. Malygina | hard | 1564 | 85–67 | 152 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 24, 2026.
E. Malygina leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 6, 2022 | W25 Sozopol | hard | E. Malygina | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Smith | 2 - 0 | Aug. 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Korpanec Davies | 1 - 2 | Aug. 11, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | G. da Silva Fick | 2 - 0 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| W | G. Pereira De Aguiar | 2 - 0 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| L | G. Maduzzi | 2 - 0 | Aug. 27, 2026 |
| W | G. Garcia-Perez | 1 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| L | G. Maduzzi | 2 - 0 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
All Sept. 15, 2026 results & picks →