M. Keys leads the head-to-head 2-1 since 2018 against C. Garcia, over 3 matches.
Today on TennisEdge
32 ATP & WTA matches analysed today
Model probabilities, market read and our staked picks — see today's board →
By surface
| Surface | C. Garcia | M. Keys |
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Current ELO by surface
| Surface | C. Garcia | M. Keys |
| Hard |
1712 (85-75) |
1907 (97-59) |
| Clay |
1671 (27-17) |
1867 (42-19) |
| Grass |
1718 (20-11) |
1905 (33-11) |
ELO is computed per surface from results since 2018; the win-loss pair is that surface's record.
Match history
| Date | Winner | Score | Event |
| Oct. 25, 2023 | C. Garcia | 2 - 0 | Zhuhai · hard |
| Feb. 21, 2023 | M. Keys | 2 - 0 | Dubai · 1/16-finals · hard |
| May 26, 2022 | M. Keys | 2 - 0 | French Open · 1/32-finals · clay |
Recent form
C. Garcia — 1-4 in the last 5
| Date | | Opponent | Score | Event |
| Aug. 25, 2025 |
L |
K. Rakhimova |
2 - 1 |
US Open · 1/64-finals · hard |
| Aug. 11, 2025 |
L |
K. Muchova |
0 - 2 |
Cincinnati · 1/32-finals · hard |
| Aug. 8, 2025 |
W |
S. Kartal |
1 - 2 |
Cincinnati · 1/64-finals · hard |
| May 26, 2025 |
L |
B. Pera |
0 - 2 |
French Open · 1/64-finals · clay |
| March 21, 2025 |
L |
I. Swiatek |
0 - 2 |
Miami · 1/32-finals · hard |
M. Keys — 3-2 in the last 5
Read next: How accurate are these predictions? We measured every one →