A. Sabalenka vs M. Keys — Head-to-Head

A. Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 5-2 since 2018 against M. Keys, over 7 matches.

Today on TennisEdge 32 ATP & WTA matches analysed today Model probabilities, market read and our staked picks — see today's board →
5
A. Sabalenka
since 2018
7 matches
2
M. Keys

By surface

SurfaceA. SabalenkaM. Keys
Hard41
Grass11

Current ELO by surface

SurfaceA. SabalenkaM. Keys
Hard 2186 (207-62) 1907 (97-59)
Clay 2018 (64-19) 1867 (42-19)
Grass 1916 (30-13) 1905 (33-11)

ELO is computed per surface from results since 2018; the win-loss pair is that surface's record.

Match history

DateWinnerScoreEvent
Jan. 9, 2026A. Sabalenka2 - 0WTA Brisbane · Quarter-finals · hard
March 15, 2025A. Sabalenka2 - 0Indian Wells · Semi-finals · hard
Jan. 25, 2025M. Keys2 - 1Australian Open · Final · hard
Oct. 2, 2024A. Sabalenka2 - 0WTA Beijing · 1/8-finals · hard
Sept. 8, 2023A. Sabalenka2 - 1WTA US Open · Semi-finals · hard
July 12, 2023A. Sabalenka2 - 0WTA Wimbledon · Quarter-finals · grass
June 16, 2021M. Keys2 - 1Berlin · 1/8-finals · grass

Recent form

A. Sabalenka — 4-1 in the last 5

DateOpponentScoreEvent
Sept. 12, 2026 L E. Rybakina 1 - 2 US Open · Final · hard
Sept. 10, 2026 W J. Pegula 2 - 0 US Open · Semi-finals · hard
Sept. 8, 2026 W L. Noskova 2 - 1 US Open · Quarter-finals · hard
Sept. 6, 2026 W T. Townsend 2 - 0 US Open · 1/8-finals · hard
Sept. 4, 2026 W K. Rakhimova 2 - 0 US Open · 1/16-finals · hard

M. Keys — 3-2 in the last 5

DateOpponentScoreEvent
Sept. 5, 2026 L Q. Zheng 1 - 2 US Open · 1/16-finals · hard
Sept. 3, 2026 W A. Bondar 2 - 1 US Open · 1/32-finals · hard
Sept. 1, 2026 W A. Korneeva 2 - 0 US Open · 1/64-finals · hard
Aug. 21, 2026 L S. Bejlek 2 - 1 Cincinnati · Quarter-finals · hard
Aug. 19, 2026 W Xiy. Wang 2 - 0 Cincinnati · 1/8-finals · hard
Read next: How accurate are these predictions? We measured every one →