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S. Bandecchi vs A. Charaeva — Prediction & Analysis

Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification · Figueira Da Foz - Quarter-finals · June 19, 2026 · 13:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Bandecchi vs A. Charaeva (Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification on 2026-06-19) — the market is efficient, with A. Charaeva favoured at 1.40.

Surface hard Odds S. Bandecchi 2.75 · A. Charaeva 1.40

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.
Profiles: S. Bandecchi · A. Charaeva · head-to-head record · Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method S. Bandecchi A. Charaeva
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
55.7% 44.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
51.2% 48.8%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
53.8% 46.2%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
40.3% 59.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
33.7% 66.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
S. Bandecchi hard1628 96–65161
A. Charaeva hard1610 75–54129

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.

Head to head

A. Charaeva leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 19, 2026Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - QualificationhardA. Charaeva2 - 1
Oct. 5, 2024W35 BazahardS. Bandecchi2 - 1
Aug. 16, 2023ITF W25 Ourense WomenhardA. Charaeva2 - 1

Recent form

S. Bandecchi

W V. Hruncakova 0 - 2 Aug. 4, 2026
L X. Gao 0 - 2 July 18, 2026
L A. Gasanova 2 - 0 July 13, 2026
L H. Shi 2 - 0 July 10, 2026
W C. Buyukakcay 0 - 2 July 9, 2026

A. Charaeva

L A. Bondar 2 - 0 July 24, 2026
W S. Kraus 2 - 1 July 22, 2026
W S. Sorribes Tormo 1 - 2 July 21, 2026
L Y. Putintseva 2 - 0 July 15, 2026
W V. Jimenez Kasintseva 2 - 0 July 13, 2026

All June 19, 2026 results & picks →

Full analysis

Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used