TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Bartunkova vs G. Knutson (Birmingham on 2026-06-03) — the market is efficient, with N. Bartunkova favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Bartunkova | G. Knutson |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.7% | 50.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
40.6% | 59.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.2% | 54.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.1% | 28.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Bartunkova | clay | 1676 | 72–40 | 112 |
| G. Knutson | hard | 1531 | 131–86 | 217 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 23, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 4, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 21, 2025 | W75 Prague | clay | G. Knutson | 2 - 1 |
| W | B. Andreescu | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 1 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | Y. Yuan | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | K. Siniakova | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | R. Sramkova | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | S. Zhang | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | D. Salkova | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Ito | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
All June 3, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used