TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Bartunkova vs A. Krueger (Birmingham on 2026-06-06) — the market is efficient, with A. Krueger favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Bartunkova | A. Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
38.7% | 61.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
15.5% | 84.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
27.1% | 72.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.2% | 60.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Bartunkova | clay | 1676 | 72–40 | 112 |
| A. Krueger | hard | 1720 | 94–83 | 177 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 23, 2026.
N. Bartunkova leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 6, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 0 |
| May 4, 2026 | Rome | clay | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 0 |
| W | B. Andreescu | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 1 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | Y. Yuan | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | K. Siniakova | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | N. Osaka | 0 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | M. Bolkvadze | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
All June 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used