TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Bulgaru vs N. Noha Akugue (Makarska on 2026-06-02) — the market is efficient, with N. Noha Akugue favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bulgaru | N. Noha Akugue |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.3% | 64.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
22.4% | 77.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
39.4% | 60.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
32.4% | 67.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.4% | 76.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bulgaru | clay | 1468 | 136–111 | 247 |
| N. Noha Akugue | clay | 1601 | 114–85 | 199 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 2, 2026 | Makarska | clay | N. Noha Akugue | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 20, 2025 | W50 Bistrita | clay | M. Bulgaru | 2 - 1 |
| L | C. Monnet | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | C. W. Hennemann | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | E. Pridankina | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Romero Gormaz | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | J. Avdeeva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Steiner | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | D. Astakhova | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
All June 2, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used