TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Zaar vs J. Bouzas Maneiro (Rabat on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with J. Bouzas Maneiro favoured at 1.28.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Zaar | J. Bouzas Maneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.5% | 58.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
66.1% | 33.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
50.7% | 49.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
25.4% | 74.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Zaar | clay | 1503 | 61–50 | 111 |
| J. Bouzas Maneiro | clay | 1679 | 122–67 | 189 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
J. Bouzas Maneiro leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Rabat | clay | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 |
| L | A-L. Friedsam | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | E. Malygina | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | Z. Kulambayeva | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | V. Lepchenko | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | M. Sieg | 2 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Arseneault | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Yastremska | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used