TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Bronzetti vs J. Grabher (Modena (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-11) — the market is efficient, with L. Bronzetti favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Bronzetti | J. Grabher |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
39.4% | 60.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
22.6% | 77.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.0% | 53.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
36.3% | 63.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
51.4% | 48.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Bronzetti | clay | 1714 | 103–71 | 174 |
| J. Grabher | clay | 1666 | 159–94 | 253 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
L. Bronzetti leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 11, 2026 | Modena (Italy) - Qualification | clay | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 0 |
| June 26, 2023 | WTA Bad Homburg | grass | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 0 |
| May 27, 2023 | WTA Rabat | clay | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Samson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Ibragimova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Siskova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. S. Steur J. | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | V. Wolff | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | I. Primorac | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | E. Perelygina | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
All June 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used