TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Kawa vs L. Bronzetti (Modena (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-14) — the market is efficient, with L. Bronzetti favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Kawa | L. Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.7% | 44.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
44.9% | 55.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.5% | 50.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.1% | 50.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
46.2% | 53.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kawa | clay | 1713 | 106–66 | 172 |
| L. Bronzetti | clay | 1714 | 103–71 | 174 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 22, 2026.
K. Kawa leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 14, 2026 | Modena (Italy) - Qualification | clay | K. Kawa | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 29, 2025 | Chennai | hard | K. Kawa | 2 - 1 |
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | P. Udvardy | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Ibragimova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
All June 14, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used