TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Teichmann vs P. Marcinko (Rabat on 2026-05-22) — the market is efficient, with P. Marcinko favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Teichmann | P. Marcinko |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.7% | 53.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.8% | 58.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
38.7% | 61.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.4% | 57.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
38.0% | 62.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Teichmann | clay | 1710 | 75–49 | 124 |
| P. Marcinko | clay | 1727 | 89–46 | 135 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 31, 2026.
P. Marcinko leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Rabat | clay | P. Marcinko | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 22, 2023 | WTA US Open | hard | P. Marcinko | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | R. Masarova | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 1 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | B. Palicova | 1 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Jorge | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | T. Zidansek | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Avanesyan | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | N. Podoroska | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | C. Burel | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | S. Kenin | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used