TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Raducanu vs K. Rakhimova (London on 2026-06-12) — the market is efficient, with E. Raducanu favoured at 1.23.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Raducanu | K. Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.5% | 38.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
81.3% | 18.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.3% | 59.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.0% | 39.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
77.7% | 22.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Raducanu | hard | 1737 | 66–51 | 117 |
| K. Rakhimova | hard | 1705 | 109–97 | 206 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 9, 2026.
E. Raducanu leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 13, 2026 | London | grass | E. Raducanu | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Vekic | 2 - 0 | June 14, 2026 |
| W | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | S. Cirstea | 0 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 2 - 0 | June 9, 2026 |
| W | V. Williams | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | H. Watson | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinina | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | O. Selekhmeteva | 1 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
All June 12, 2026 results & picks →
Qualitative override: The mathematical edge on Rakhimova is an artifact of model disagreement. The high-accuracy ML model (81.3%) aligns perfectly with the market price, suggesting the favorite is priced correctly. The ELO model likely undervalues Raducanu's specific grass-court aptitude and home-soil motivation.