TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Korneeva vs M. Kubka (Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification on 2026-06-18) — the market is efficient, with A. Korneeva favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Korneeva | M. Kubka |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
75.3% | 24.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.5% | 49.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
30.1% | 69.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
73.2% | 26.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.3% | 27.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Korneeva | hard | 1826 | 106–32 | 138 |
| M. Kubka | hard | 1620 | 118–71 | 189 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 18, 2026 | Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification | hard | M. Kubka | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 7, 2024 | Monastir | hard | A. Korneeva | 2 - 1 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 1 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Stoiana | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | T. Kostovic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. Mikulskyte | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | K. Pavlova | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | H. Shi | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | C. Noel | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
All June 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used