TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Charaeva vs A. Aksu (Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification on 2026-06-20) — the market is efficient, with A. Charaeva favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Charaeva | A. Aksu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.9% | 50.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
65.5% | 34.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
66.4% | 33.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
64.5% | 35.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.3% | 27.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Charaeva | hard | 1610 | 75–54 | 129 |
| A. Aksu | hard | 1617 | 89–70 | 159 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 20, 2026.
A. Aksu leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 20, 2026 | Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification | hard | A. Aksu | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Bondar | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Kraus | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Jimenez Kasintseva | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Costoulas | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | V. Morvayova | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | V. Valdmannova | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used